PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 5%-0.1ptEn tête parmi 7 options
December 31 5%-0.1ptQualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
9,2 k €
Liquidité
1,7 k €
Faible liquiditéCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
29 janv. 26, 03:43 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
May 31Perdu
June 30Perdu
September 30Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
February 28Perdu
March 31Perdu
April 30Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Dobropillia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Lyman by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.072806° N, 36.523854° E in Havrylivka between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances