PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 18:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 11%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
12 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,8 k €
Faible liquiditéCommentaires
6
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète31 janv. 26, 0:211 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Ternuvate will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
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+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 20,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 221,8 k €
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- October 31-2.0pt13%
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- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
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- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 11% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.