PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 32%-5.5ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
21,8 k €
Liquidité
1,2 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
18 août 26, 23:3630 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Bahrain.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote September 30 à 32% au 28 août 2026.
- Quand Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).