Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
Géopolitique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Résolu: 1 avr. 2026, 09:42
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualité du marché
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 154 jours
ObsolèteTendances
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
- Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 404,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt62%
- October 31+3.0pt40%
- September 30+1.0pt21%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 55 M €
- Volume 24h
- 283,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt70.3%
- New People (NL)-2.1pt23.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt25%
- October 31-1.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIran full airspace closure by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- September 3012%
- June 30+0.3pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 100% au 31 mars 2026.
- Comment Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".