PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréRéglé par le fournisseur, marché par marché
Résolu: 28 oct. 2026, 22:07
Cet événement n'a pas de gagnant unique. Le fournisseur a réglé chaque marché séparément ; chaque marché affiche son propre résultat.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 28 oct. 2026, 21:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Benjamin Netanyahu0%
Elon Musk0%
Emmanuel Macron0%
Hillary Clinton5%
Abdul El-SayedGagné
Barack ObamaGagné
J.B. PritzkerGagné
James TalaricoGagné
Jerome PowellGagné
Joe BidenGagné
Jon OssoffGagné
Kaitlan CollinsGagné
Mark CarneyGagné
Nicolás MaduroGagné
Tucker CarlsonGagné
Hillary ClintonPerdu
Adam SchiffPerdu
Alex JonesPerdu
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezPerdu
Andy BurnhamPerdu
Benjamin NetanyahuPerdu
Candace OwensPerdu
Elizabeth WarrenPerdu
Elon MuskPerdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsTrump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump ever publicly endorse another presidential candidate?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe.
- Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available.
- Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported.
- Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.