Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.6%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 50 minutes
En retard15 nov. 25, 01:55 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
Manifold MarketsWill John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older be more likely to identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population?
Manifold MarketsWhat proportion of Ted Kaczynski clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
Manifold MarketsWill a U.S. pro athlete come out as LGBTQ+ and explicitly cite Heated Rivalry as their inspiration before season 2 airs?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump publicly insult someone on?
PolymarketWill Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiRègles
Will Donald Trump Publicly State That He Is Lesbian Gay Bisexual Transgender Or Any Other Sexual Minority By 2028
- Update 2025-11-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Simply stating he has had gay experiences is not sufficient for YES resolution unless Trump also explicitly states he is gay or bisexual.