Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.6%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 31 minutes
15 nov. 25, 01:55 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Kai Trump comes out as lesbian before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
PolymarketWho will Trump publicly praise in September?
PolymarketWill Trump publicly insult someone on?
PolymarketWill Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiRègles
Will Donald Trump Publicly State That He Is Lesbian Gay Bisexual Transgender Or Any Other Sexual Minority By 2028
- Update 2025-11-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Simply stating he has had gay experiences is not sufficient for YES resolution unless Trump also explicitly states he is gay or bisexual.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Trump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will Donald Trump Publicly State That He Is Lesbian Gay Bisexual Transgender Or Any Other Sexual Minority By 2028