Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.7%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète17 déc. 25, 23:30 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
This market resolves YES if, before January 20, 2029, if all of the following occur:
- Donald Trump makes a public statement or announcement confirming that he has converted to Judaism.
- The conversion is formally recognized by a Jewish religious authority or organization, such as a recognized rabbinical court (Beth Din) or a major Jewish religious organization or synagogue.
- The conversion and its recognition are reported by at least one major, credible news outlet.
- The market resolves to NO if these conditions are not met by January 20, 2029.
- Additional Info:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if, before January 20, 2029, if all of the following occur: