PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
200+ 59.6%+26.5ptEn tête parmi 11 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
2,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
22.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
15 sept. 26, 04:00 UTC25 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?
PolymarketWhite House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?
PolymarketDonald Trump # Truth Social posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?
PolymarketWill a court block Trump's White House press ban?
KalshiWill Trump name another news outlet for his White House ban?
KalshiWill the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-6.0pt49.5%
- No change+5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 755,3 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 586,9 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 427,4 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+3.4pt100%
- October 31+2.8pt100%
- December 31+2.0pt100%
+3 résultats de plus
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote 200+ à 60% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026? doit être résolu le 25 septembre 2026.
- Comment White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.