KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Oct 1, 2026 78%+2.0pt
Qualité du marché
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Liquidité
1,2 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
78.0% / 82.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
18 sept. 26, 20:45 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
PolymarketNumber of White House Press Briefings in Sep 2026?
KalshiCourts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?
PolymarketWill the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?
KalshiWho will be the next White House Press Secretary?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If any federal or state court issues a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, stay, or vacatur that blocks or enjoins any part of the September 18, 2026 White House ban on CNN, MS NOW, or Politico in a case concerning the September 18, 2026 White House ban on CNN, MS NOW, and Politico the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:PACER (Public Access to Court Electronic Records)CourtListenerThe Associated PressReuters
- The ruling must: Be issued by any federal or state court in a case concerning the September 18, 2026 White House ban on CNN, MS NOW, and Politico Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
- Partial relief counts.
- A written ruling preventing enforcement of the ban against only one named outlet, at only one covered White House venue, or through only one enforcement measure qualifies.
- A temporary restraining order qualifies when it is issued in writing and its operative terms block or enjoin a covered part of the ban.
- It need not be converted or extended into a preliminary injunction.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-6.0pt49.5%
- No change+5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 755,3 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 586,9 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Volume total
- 29,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 427,4 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.9%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+3.4pt100%
- October 31+2.8pt100%
- December 31+2.0pt100%
+3 résultats de plus
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a court block Trump's White House press ban? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Oct 1, 2026 à 78% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a court block Trump's White House press ban? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a court block Trump's White House press ban? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will a court block Trump's White House press ban? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any federal or state court issues a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, stay, or vacatur that blocks or enjoins any part of the September 18, 2026 White House ban on CNN, MS NOW, or Politico in a case concerning the September 18, 2026 White House ban on CNN, MS NOW, and Politico the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.