Will the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection22jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 65.4%
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8
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
20 août 26, 17:10 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
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PolymarketRègles
Karoline Leavitt announced on 2026-08-12 that she will step down as White House Press Secretary at the end of August 2026.
- As of market creation no successor has been named, and NBC News has reported the White House may not name a permanent replacement until after the November midterm elections.
- RESOLUTION: Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-09-30 at 11:59 PM ET, a person other than Karoline Leavitt is publicly identified by the White House as holding the title of White House Press Secretary, Acting White House Press Secretary, or Interim White House Press Secretary.
- Acceptable evidence (any one suffices): - An official White House statement, whitehouse.gov listing, or on-record announcement by the President or a White House official naming that person to the role. - The person conducting an official White House press briefing while being identified by the White House under one of those three titles.
- Does NOT count: a deputy or principal deputy press secretary briefing the press WITHOUT being given one of the three titles above; press speculation, anonymously-sourced reporting, or "frontrunner" stories; a nominee/pick who has not yet been installed or designated acting.
- Resolves NO otherwise, including if the role is simply left formally vacant through 2026-09-30.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will the White House name a new Press Secretary (permanent, acting, or interim) by September 30, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Karoline Leavitt announced on 2026-08-12 that she will step down as White House Press Secretary at the end of August 2026.