PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
June 30 100%+11.4ptEn tête parmi 35 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
292,8 k €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+72.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 71 jours
Obsolète12 avr. 26, 18:2230 avr. 26, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
June 30100%
July 3188%
June 21100%
April 150%
April 160%
April 170%
April 180%
April 220%
April 300%
April 190%
April 210%
April 200%
April 230%
April 240%
April 250%
April 270%
April 290%
May 50%
April 260%
April 280%
May 150%
May 310%
June 150%
May 220%
May 280%
June 30%
June 70%
June 100%
June 130%
June 140%
June 181%
June 190%
June 170%
June 160%
June 200%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments.
- Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
- Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
- The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media.