PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 20:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
November 13, 2026 89%+14.0pt
Qualité du marché
17 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
178,2 €
Liquidité
334,1 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
84.0% / 93.0%
Écart
9.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+13.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète22 juil. 26, 16:0014 mars 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
On November 12, 2025, the United States enacted a law that includes a provision, referred to herein as Section 781, defining hemp to exclude products containing a tetrahydrocannabinols (“THC”) concentration (including tetrahydrocannabinolic acid) of over 0.3%, or finished consumer products containing over 0.4mg of THC.
- This law would have the effect of creating federal prohibitions on the sale of such products and is scheduled to go into effect on November 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, a hemp-derived beverage containing 5mg or more of total THC per container qualifies as lawful hemp under federal law (and is therefore not a schedule 1 controlled substance).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying means by which this market may resolve to Yes include, but are not limited to: the repeal of Section 781, the delay of the effective date of Section 781 past the specified date, the enactment of a law that overrides Section 781, or the nationwide enjoinment of Section 781 by a federal court.
- State laws or authorizations, federal enforcement discretion (such as non-prosecution policies or guidance), court orders limited to specific parties, products, states, or districts, bills that have not been enacted, and FDA food-additive or premarket status will not alone be sufficient to cause this market to resolve to “Yes.”
