PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 87%
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,2 k €
Liquidité
2 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
12.0% / 14.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
14 sept. 26, 22:46 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
PolymarketWhen will Sam Altman cease to be the CEO of OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsIs Sam Altman right that we will see AI agents materially change the output of companies in 2025?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiWill Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI.
- Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.