PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 98%+0.3pt
Qualité du marché
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
394,1 €
Liquidité
19,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.5% / 1.9%
Écart
0.4 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
13
Variation 7j
-0.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
8 janv. 26, 18:10 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NATO dissolves by 2028
Manifold MarketsEU dissolves before 2027?
PolymarketOPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- 1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
- 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty. 3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
- NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour NATO dissolves before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand NATO dissolves before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- NATO dissolves before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment NATO dissolves before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.