Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.6%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 16:49 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NATO dissolves before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if NATO ceases to exist as an organization by December 31, 2027.
- Dissolution requires the formal termination of the North Atlantic Treaty or the effective end of NATO as a functioning alliance through the withdrawal of all or substantially all member states.
- For resolution purposes, NATO dissolves if:
- The North Atlantic Treaty is formally terminated or denounced by member states
- NATO's institutional structures cease to operate and the alliance is formally disbanded
