Probabilité implicite actuelle
10 26.9%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
18,9 €
Liquidité
25,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+2.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
20 août 26, 09:12 UTC12 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- The National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) has never had a political group in the French Senate.
- A political group in the Senate requires a minimum of ten senators.
- This market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by a political group representing the RN as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.
- The seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).