Probabilité implicite actuelle
59-61 35.3%En tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
23,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.4 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+3.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
19 août 26, 19:52 UTC12 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- This market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Union Centriste as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.
- The seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).
- A group will qualify as the Groupe Union Centriste if it satisfies at least one of the following: - Its official name includes "Union Centriste" or a clear variant thereof; - Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or - It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Union Centriste, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
- A group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? ?
- Polymarket cote 59-61 à 35% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? doit être résolu le 12 octobre 2026.
- Comment Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.