PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
2 22.9%-0.1ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
11,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
30 juil. 26, 00:50 UTC9 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
PolymarketHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
PolymarketHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
PolymarketWho will dissent at the September Fed meeting?
KalshiWill exactly one FOMC member dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExWill exactly zero FOMC members dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExRègles
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
- The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
- This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
- This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 543,5 k €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many dissent at the December Fed meeting? ?
- Polymarket cote 2 à 23% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many dissent at the December Fed meeting? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many dissent at the December Fed meeting? doit être résolu le 9 décembre 2026.
- Comment How many dissent at the December Fed meeting? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.