PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle55%+ 85%+12.9%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
6,3 k €
Liquidité
14,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
83.1% / 86.7%
Spread
4.3%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
23 juil. 26, 22:4431 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
55%+85%
Tendance du volume
$7.2k24 juil.3j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
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255,5 k €Anthropic: 99%POLYMARKET
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34,7 k €Alibaba: 76%POLYMARKET
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Top AI model this week
28,2 k €claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 96%
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Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
24 k €1470+: 84%POLYMARKET
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22,3 k €ChatGPT: 1%KALSHI
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When will Anthropic release Mythos?
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KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
- The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/.
- If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again.
- If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used.