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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

IATechYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
At least 50%
At least 50% 89%
En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche

40 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

23,6 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

85.0% / 89.0%

Spread

4.7%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

20 mai 26, 14:0031 déc. 26, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

At least 50%89%

Règles

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

8,8 €
At least 70%: 53%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

5,9 k €
Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,9 k €
Oui: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

984,1 €
None in 2026: 70%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

479,3 €
Oui: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

441,2 €
Claude: 67%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,680.24+2.12%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.51%EthereumETH$1,650.31+1.26%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.55%BNBBNB$595.00+1.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%

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Règles

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.