KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 70% 96%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
20 mai 26, 14:00 UTC31 déc. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiHighest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketWill Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHighest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketIn what year will Al achieve 85% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Humanity's Last Exam
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027? ?
- Kalshi cote At least 70% à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.