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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

7.0% (24h)IATechOne-Off1a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
At least 70%
At least 70% 53%+7.0%
En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

8,8 €

Liquidité

21,4 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

48.0% / 53.0%

Spread

10.4%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

20 mai 26, 14:0031 déc. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

At least 70%53%

Règles

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

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Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

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Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

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Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

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Will Apple announce a major AI model partnership (e.g., OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic) at WWDC 2026?

0 €
Oui: 99.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,668.49+2.36%EthereumETH$1,651.07+1.73%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.77%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.92%BNBBNB$595.27+1.76%XRPXRP$1.12+0.46%

Actualités Associées

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Règles

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 80% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 85% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.