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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

1.5% (24h)IATechOne-Off18j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Anthropic
Anthropic 100%+77.0%
En tête parmi 11 options
Qualite du marche

64 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

3 k €

Liquidité

61,4 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

5.0% / 7.0%

Spread

40.0%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-3.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes

22 déc. 25, 22:3730 juin 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

OpenAI6%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
  • If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
  • The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
  • If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.

Marchés Associés

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

30,1 k €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?

Which company has best AI model end of July?

25,3 k €
Anthropic: 83%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

8,9 k €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

627,6 €
By Jan 1, 2026: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?

By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?

500,8 €
Before 2024-06-01: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

471,7 €
Oui: 36%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,425.95+1.41%EthereumETH$1,647.93+1.02%SolanaSOL$64.96+0.66%DogecoinDOGE$0.0845+0.53%BNBBNB$593.81+0.95%XRPXRP$1.11-0.70%

Actualités Associées

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
  • If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
  • The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
  • If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.