Ce marché s'est résolu: Anthropic (99%)
Résolu: 1 juil. 2026, 00:05
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Provenance du règlement
- Résultat en vigueur
- Anthropic
- Enregistré
- 25 juil. 2026, 08:31
- Observations
- 1
- Révisions
- 0
- Méthode
- resolution_watch
Prévision communautaire actuelleAnthropic 99%+10.2ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 jours
Obsolète4 févr. 26, 19:2130 juin 26, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
Google4.5%
OpenAI6.3%
xAI0.6%
Anthropic99%
Meta0.5%
Alibaba0.2%
DeepSeek0.3%
Other0.2%
99%
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Anthropic
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of June?
0.5 ptsFermés
Résolu
Anthropic (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total19,6 M €
Volume 24h5,6 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
0.1 ptsFermés
Résolu
Anthropic (100%)
+77.0pt100%
-0.6pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total1,5 M €
Volume 24h5,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Which company has best AI model end of July?
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Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of June 30th, 11:59PM ET.
- We'll follow polymarket's tiebreak rule:
- If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-hnNnI6lALy
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-LIC6U8LQ9R
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-0PE9Utg8Qg