PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
55%+ 41%-1.5ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,6 k €
Liquidité
2,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
23 juil. 26, 22:50 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiWill Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
- The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/.
- If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again.
- If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used.