PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 57%
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
60,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
26.0% / 89.0%
Écart
63.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
+9.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
13 août 26, 18:16 UTC2 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiWhich states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026.
- A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
- A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak.
- A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred.
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 30,4 k €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 652,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,5 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 865,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,7 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- 915,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 84 k €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? ?
- Polymarket cote Yes à 57% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? doit être résolu le 2 octobre 2026.
- Comment Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation.