What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
33.0 pts (24h)Santé et médecineOne-OffPolitique américaine2a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 29 oct. 2026, 00:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
At least 4000 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Prix enregistré
At least 4000 83%En tête parmi 7 options
At least 4000 83%Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
37,2 €
Intérêt ouvert
25,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
At least 4000Écart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
21 mai 26, 18:00 UTC1 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least 4000
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Measles cases in 2026?
KalshiMeasles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PolymarketIn which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:CDC
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 4000
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2000
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4500
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 4500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2500
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3000
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 3000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3500
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 3500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5000
- If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.