Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionGéopolitiqueChessSport3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%-0.1pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
10,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.5% / 5.0%
Écart
1.5 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
25 mars 26, 16:55 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) and the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC), the CPC becomes the favorite in the "338Canada Seat Projection" (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection) at any published data point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Equal seat projections will not qualify; the CPC must have a strictly higher seat projection than the LPC.
- Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
- Revisions indicating a qualifying projection that are released within this market’s timeframe will be considered, but will not invalidate a previously released data point that resolved the market.
- Revisions published after the specified timeframe will not be considered.