Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionMiddle EastChessGéopolitiqueSport3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.1%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète11 mai 26, 10:44 UTC30 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Naftali Bennett is sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, scheduled for October 2026.
- Otherwise, it resolves to "NO."
- The official outcome will be determined by the formation of a government that receives a vote of confidence from the Knesset, as reported by official Israeli government sources such as the Knesset website or major reputable news outlets (e.g., The Times of Israel, Haaretz, Reuters).
- If the election results in a government where Bennett does not hold the position of Prime Minister, the market resolves to "NO."
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria