Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 88%
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
14 oct. 26, 23:43 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:43 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will free Gemini app users get access to Gemini 4 Argon by November 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zvi write a full report on Muse Wonder?
Manifold MarketsNext Gemini Argon released by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to YES if Zvi writes a post centered around Gemini 4 Argon before the deadline, that focuses on capabilities.
- A post primarily about its safety report DOES NOT COUNT.
- Resolves to NO if Zvi does not write such a post.
- Market will not resolve early to avoid leaking information, except if the post is up and this thus resolves YES.