Milieu du carnet sélectionné
January 31 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Référence enregistrée
January 31 14%
January 31 14%Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
567,5 €
Liquidité
2,1 k €
Faible liquiditéIntérêt ouvert
984,1 $US
Achat / Vente
— / —
January 31Écart
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Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
14 oct. 26, 23:01 UTC1 févr. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Principaux détenteurs
Chargement des principaux détenteurs
Profondeur du marché · January 31
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will free Gemini app users get access to Gemini 4 Argon by November 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Zvi write a full capabilities report on Gemini 4 Argon?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Argon model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Argon" and be a new Gemini Argon model release designated as newer than Gemini 4 Argon (gemini-4-argon, released October 13, 2026), regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors, including decimal version increases, new whole-number generations, or newer dated builds.
- For example, a newer Argon model named in the same manner as Gemini 4 Argon, including a decimal increase such as a 4.1 or a new whole-number generation such as a Gemini 5 Argon, or a newer Argon release under a new, distinct model identifier, would qualify, while Gemini 4 Argon itself, including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, price change, or thinking-level setting of it, and models whose name does not include "Argon," such as Gemini Pro, Gemini Flash, or Gemini Flash-Lite models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.