Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026
One-OffGéopolitique3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.3%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète14 mars 26, 04:39 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
Clarification: A "World War Three" article, which has appeared on the In the News portal, has maintained a starting date of than April 1st or earlier for longer than 7 days, and no talk page disputes about this decision.
- Update 2026-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Vandalism does not count for resolution.
- The Wikipedia entry must be a legitimate entry that remains on the page for more than a few minutes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Wikipedia on or before January 1st 2030 list WWIII as having started already on April 1, 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Clarification: A "World War Three" article, which has appeared on the In the News portal, has maintained a starting date of than April 1st or earlier for longer than 7 days, and no talk page disputes about this decision.