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Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
21 déc. 23, 15:51 UTC1 mars 29, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
KalshiRègles
Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) refers to a level of artificial intelligence that surpasses the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest, including scientific creativity, general wisdom, and social skills.
- Unlike Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), which matches human capabilities, ASI exceeds them, demonstrating superior problem-solving and inventive skills, advanced learning and adaptive capabilities, and unparalleled reasoning and planning abilities.
- ASI embodies not only the ability to perform tasks that require human-like intelligence but also the capacity to achieve goals with efficiency and effectiveness far beyond human capabilities.
- It represents an evolution in AI, where machines are not just equal, but distinctly superior to the best human brains in every field, including scientific understanding, general knowledge, and emotional intelligence.
- Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2029
- Markets with the same criteria: