Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 86%
Prévisionnistes
51
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète2 févr. 24, 23:35 UTC1 mars 35, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get AGI before we discover alien life?
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Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
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KalshiNatural Disaster in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2035.
- This question includes but is not limited to the detection of biosignatures/technosignatures in our solar system, around other stars or distant galaxies.
- Questions with the same criteria:
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