Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.8%
Prévisionnistes
66
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète10 janv. 24, 10:53 UTC1 mars 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get AGI before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2037?
Manifold MarketsHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2029.
- This question includes but is not limited to the detection of biosignatures/technosignatures in our solar system, around other stars or distant galaxies.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-cbfe304a2ed7
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-54f04dd10acb
