Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80%
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 24, 10:17 UTC1 mars 37, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get AGI before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2033?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2037.
- This question includes but is not limited to the detection of biosignatures/technosignatures in our solar system, around other stars or distant galaxies.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-cbfe304a2ed7
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-54f04dd10acb
