Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
5 janv. 26, 16:29 UTC31 déc. 26, 16:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US strike Mexico by ?
FutuurWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Venezuela (through its government, military, or state-affiliated actors) takes any direct military, cyber, or armed action against U.S. targets, personnel, or interests in response to the January 2026 U.S. strikes.
- This includes attacks on U.S. military assets, diplomatic facilities, or U.S. citizens abroad.
- The action must occur within 12 months of January 3, 2026,.
- On January 3, 2026, the United States military attacked Venezuela, capturing sitting Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores.
- The attack, codenamed Absolute Resolve, began around 02:00 a.m. local time when explosions were observed.
