Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.5%
Prévisionnistes
54
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
3 janv. 26, 18:28 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolves YES if President Donald J Trump visits Venezuela in 2026.
- (Venezuelan time)
- Must be present in the physical land based geographic borders of Venezuela.
- Presence in Venezuelan waters does not count.
- Flying over without landing doesn’t count.
- Virtual appearance doesn’t count.Presence in a Venezuelan embassy doesn’t count.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
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- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump visit Venezuela in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump visit Venezuela in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump visit Venezuela in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump visit Venezuela in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if President Donald J Trump visits Venezuela in 2026.