KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 4%+0.1pt
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
890,6 €
Liquidité
265,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
1.9% / 3.8%
Écart
1.9 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
1 mars 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will US president Donald Trump visit Iran in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWhich states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat countries will Donald Trump visit in the remainder of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
LimitlessRègles
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads inDonald Trumpofficial government sources of Iranofficial representatives or offices of Donald TrumpThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBC
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
Marchés ouverts
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- September 20+2.9pt100%
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- Democratic Party+0.5pt91%
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- Democrats sweep59.2%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump visit Iran? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 4% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump visit Iran? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump visit Iran? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Donald Trump visit Iran? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.