Will US president Donald Trump visit Iran in 2026
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitiqueMoyen-Orient2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.9%
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
14 janv. 26, 21:46 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if President Donald Trump visits Iran at any point during 2026.
- A visit is defined as Trump's physical presence in Iranian territory.
- The resolution will be confirmed through official White House statements, credible news reporting from major international news outlets, or official Iranian government announcements.
- The market resolves NO if Trump does not visit Iran by December 31, 2026.
- Trump has cancelled all meetings with Iranian officials as of January 13, 2026, amid ongoing protests in Iran.