Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82.5%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète7 mars 26, 17:21 UTC31 déc. 49, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Manifold MarketsIf Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be?
Manifold MarketsUS GDP growth in Q3 2026?
PolymarketUS GDP growth in Q3 2026
FutuurWhich of these countries will have a higher GDP per capita than Mexico by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
As of 2025, US nominal GDP per capita is ~$89,600 vs. ~$58,000 for Western Europe, a ratio of roughly 1.55x.
- This question resolves YES if that ratio exceeds 10.0 at anytime before 2050.
- Western Europe defined as: Germany, France, Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, Luxembourg (UN Geoscheme) GDP per capita in nominal USD
