Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitiqueSociety & Culture2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 68.2%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète25 janv. 25, 23:35 UTC16 févr. 29, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
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FutuurRègles
From January 20th, 2025, no new U.S. passports should be issued with an “X” (other/nondisclosed) in the Sex field — whitehouse.gov; CNN; Fox News
- However, it remains an open question what will happen to existing U.S. passports that were issued with an “X” in the Sex field, particularly over the short term.
- This question resolves YES if any existing, unexpired U.S. passport is actually revoked, solely on the basis of its having an “X” in the Sex field, before the deadline(s) given below.
- Generally, if a U.S. passport requires renewal or replacement, and its holder is required to select “M” or “F” in the Sex field as a condition of that renewal or replacement, that will NOT cause this question to resolve.
- However, if any U.S. passport holder is required by the U.S. passport office to renew their passport solely in order to get rid of an “X” in the Sex field, this question resolves YES.
- This question resolves YES if more than 5 unique States contain any international airport, sea port, or border crossing which officially maintains policy to regard passports with an “X” in the Sex field as being invalid.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 68% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? doit être résolu le 16 février 2029.
- Comment Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : From January 20th, 2025, no new U.S. passports should be issued with an “X” (other/nondisclosed) in the Sex field — whitehouse.gov; CNN; Fox News