Will Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026?
US PoliticsOne-OffSociety & CultureDivertissement3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.5%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète17 janv. 26, 19:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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KalshiRègles
In a live stream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BR9G3eMEmxE) Tor encouraged viewers to create a prediction market about whether he would come out as trans.
- To resolve YES, at least one of the following conditions must be met:
- A public announcement in any public social media such as Twitter, Bluesky, Youtube, Instagram or public Facebook post before 23:59:59 EST on 31/12/2026 by Tor Parsons (or the person formerly known as Tor Parsons) of Tor's transgender or non-binary status.
- A public announcement as above that Tor is taking estrogen or testosterone-blockers for the purpose of feminisation.
- A public announcement as above that Tor has changed his pronouns to no longer include he/him.
- The edge case of Tor changing his pronouns to he/they will still resolve to NO if none of the other conditions are met, though they/he will resolve to YES.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In a live stream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BR9G3eMEmxE) Tor encouraged viewers to create a prediction market about whether he would come out as trans.