Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030
One-OffSociété et culturePolitique américaineDivertissement3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.1%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 minutes
10 févr. 25, 22:38 UTC1 juil. 30, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Announced and confirmed by them, or credible clear reports that they don't live together and/ or are separated.
- Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criteria clarification:
- Death does not count: Only a deliberate decay of the relationship (through divorce or separation) meets the resolution criteria.
- Focus on relationship decay: The market outcome is based solely on whether the relationship falls apart, not on events such as a death.
- Update 2025-07-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market's deadline of 'mid 2030' is defined as the end of day on June 30, 2030, California time.
