Prévision communautaire actuelle
Tim Scott 13.1%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète16 mars 26, 05:17 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Connor Storrie come out as gay or bisexual by December 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf I come out as nonbinary, will it go well?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for each answer if that person publicly comes out as LGBT (lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, or other non-heterosexual/non-cisgender identity) at any point during 2026.
- Resolution requires a public statement or credible media reporting of such a disclosure by the individual themselves or their official representatives.
- Rumors, speculation, or third-party allegations do not constitute resolution criteria.
- The market resolves NO for any answer where no such public disclosure occurs by December 31, 2026.
- While just 15 percent of queer people registered to vote self-identify as Republican, there is a documented history of closeted conservative politicians.
