Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
One-OffSociety & CulturePolitique5moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.3%
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète6 oct. 23, 19:32 UTC1 mars 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Gallup polls Americans on whether they identify as LGBT.
- Since polling began, Americans' self-identification as LGBT has risen from 3.5% in 2012 to 7.2% in 2022.
- In the last three years, polling results were published in articles on Gallup's website the February after the year in-question (2020, 2021, 2022).
- Polling temporarily lapsed in 2018 and 2019.
- If Gallup does not publish anything on this question for all of the next 3 years, this question resolves N/A. So long as at least 1 of the next 3 years has directly comparable data, this question resolves YES if any of Gallup's polling shows that 10% or more of Americans identify as LGBT.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2027.
- Comment Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Gallup polls Americans on whether they identify as LGBT.