Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.7%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète2 mars 26, 10:16 UTC31 déc. 26, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
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PolymarketWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurUSD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
PolymarketRègles
Update 2026-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Russian-Ukrainian war casualties do NOT count towards resolution.
- This market is specifically for new conflicts (such as Iran bombing a European country).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2026-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Russian-Ukrainian war casualties do NOT count towards resolution.