Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030?
One-OffIAHealth & MedicineTech3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 80.6%
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète25 déc. 23, 20:28 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
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FutuurRègles
This question will resolve to yes if at some point before 2030 there is an AI whose diagnosis are in average more accurate than those made by human doctors.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question will resolve to yes if at some point before 2030 there is an AI whose diagnosis are in average more accurate than those made by human doctors.