Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50%
Prévisionnistes
0
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète24 août 26, 20:09 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will nicholas decker have a girlfriend by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill my brother find a girlfriend by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill @duck_master have girlfriend by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point prior to or on December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM PT, Theo Jaffee publicly confirms, announces, or explicitly refers to having a girlfriend, romantic partner, or significant other.
- Acceptable sources of confirmation include:
- A post or reply from his official X account (@theojaffee)
- An announcement or explicit reference on his Substack (theojaffee.com) or his podcast
- Direct confirmation by Theo Jaffee in the comments section of this market or via another reliable prediction market platform.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria