Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète7 juil. 26, 21:05 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicholas Decker get someone pregnant by EOY2033?
Manifold MarketsWill my brother find a girlfriend by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Nicholas Decker is in a mutually acknowledged romantic relationship with a girlfriend at any point on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Acceptable sources of verification include:
- Direct public confirmation by Nicholas Decker (e.g., via social media, blog posts, or public statements).
- A relationship status update on his public social media profiles (e.g., Facebook, Instagram).
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 30,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 18 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume total
- 8,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7 k €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- 516,1 €
- Volume 24h
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- 136,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 419 €
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- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will nicholas decker have a girlfriend by EOY2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will nicholas decker have a girlfriend by EOY2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will nicholas decker have a girlfriend by EOY2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will nicholas decker have a girlfriend by EOY2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria