Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
FedOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionGéopolitiquePolitiqueRégulation2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 56.6%
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94
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
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Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète28 août 24, 04:50 UTC21 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will at least 6 out of the following 10 criteria be met by January 20, 2029?
- The Insurrection Act is invoked to deploy active-duty military for domestic law enforcement in at least three major US cities.
- The Department of Justice prosecutes at least five prominent political opponents of Trump on charges widely considered by legal experts to be politically motivated.
- At least 50,000 federal civil service workers are reclassified as political appointees and replaced with individuals vetted for loyalty to Trump's agenda.
- The Federal Communications Commission revokes the broadcasting licenses of at least two major news networks critical of the Trump administration.
- The Supreme Court upholds at least two of the following executive actions that expand presidential powers:
